Who should you vote for in the elections this week?
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Elections in the UK this week may change everything. With prediction markets saying Labour are facing wipeout, is Sir Keir Starmer about to resign? Who will take over? And what does that mean for the next general election? Gary sets out his predictions for the next week, year and 10 years in British politics. A couple things I forgot to mention in this video about voting: 1 - Not everywhere in England has elections this week - but they are taking place in all of Scotland, all of Wales, and most of the main urban areas in England - London, the northwest, the west midlands, and the Newcastle region. 2 - You don't need to be a UK citizen to vote, most Commonwealth and EU nationals can vote if they live in the UK. 3 - You are of course free to care about about and vote primarily on other issues - this recommendation is focused solely on our economy/living standards/inequality/wealth taxes campaign. 4 - You may want to consider voting for other parties for tactical reasons, for example preventing Reform from winning in your area, or supporting a good local candidate (the Labour council in Wandsworth, for example, have been doing good work) Thanks! Help us get a lobbyist: join the Patreon – patreon.com or make a one-off donation – buy.stripe.com ––––––––––– Chapters 00:00 Intro 02:47 Will Starmer go? 09:09 WHO you should vote for 10:22 Scotland and Wales 11:34 The next UK Prime Minister? 16:44 Best way to get wealth taxes 21:16 What I predict will happen 35:30 What you can do ––––––––––– GET MERCH – shop.garyseconomics.org JOIN GARY'S MAILING LIST – subscribepage.io GET THE TRADING GAME – penguin.co.uk ––––––––––– Follow Gary on other channels: LINKEDIN – linkedin.com SPOTIFY – open.spotify.com INSTAGRAM – @garyseconomics TIKTOK – @garyseconomics BLUESKY – bsky.app X – twitter.com FACEBOOK – @garyseconomics DISCORD – discord.gg WEBSITE – garyseconomics.org
Gary’s Economics presents a provocative take on how local UK elections could reshape the national political landscape and, more importantly for his channel, wealth taxes and living standards. He frames the upcoming local elections as a de facto vote on who will lead the country, with leadership turmoil within the Labour Party and a Green surge foregrounded as a pivotal dynamic. The video stresses that this week’s results could influence who becomes the next prime minister, particularly if Labour performs poorly and forces a leadership contest. He argues that wealth taxes are central to reducing inequality and improving living standards, and he argues that the Greens are currently the only major party openly embracing wealth taxes, pressuring Labour to respond. The host outlines a strategy for his audience: vote strategically for the Greens to push wealth tax policy into the mainstream and to incentivize Labour to adopt or signal serious consideration of wealth taxes. He also discusses the electoral system, warnings about a potential Reform Conservative government if the left vote remains split, and the real possibility that Starmer could resign depending on results. Beyond electoral strategy, the video offers practical notes on voting eligibility, regional variations (Scotland, Wales, and parts of England), and tactical considerations for citizens who care about wealth taxes. Throughout, Gary emphasizes a policy-first approach, urging viewers to participate in the democratic process to shape a tax system that taxes wealth more and rewards work less. He closes with personal commitments to vote Green, plans to meet with wealth tax scholars, and a call to supporters to back lobbying efforts to advance wealth tax policy, while cautioning against divisiveness that could hand power to Reform. The overarching narrative links local electoral outcomes to long-term policy horizons, asserting that the Greens’ ascent could force Labour to reconsider wealth taxes and protect the UK from eight years of stagnant or regressive tax policy. The video blends political analysis, audience engagement, and a concrete advocacy agenda, inviting viewers to participate in a broader movement for tax reform and more equitable living standards. In sum, the piece positions wealth taxation as a decisive lever to alter the trajectory of UK economics and politics, using local voting as a strategic tool to accelerate that reform. The analysis is anchored in a multi-layered argument: local elections as a proxy for national leadership direction, the Greens as the most credible advocates for wealth taxes in the current landscape, and Labour as the target whose policy shifts could determine the next government. Gary argues that the electoral system’s first-past-the-post structure exacerbates the stakes of vote splitting on the left, making tactical voting a practical consideration for those committed to wealth taxes. He also underscores international contexts, citing global moves toward wealth taxation and the influence of experts like Gabriel Zucman. The video is explicitly mission-driven, blending persuasion with data, including polling and betting markets, to outline scenarios where wealth taxes could appear on policy agendas within the next eight years. He invites engagement through channels like Patreon and a lobbyist hire, signaling that the movement intends to translate online advocacy into real-world political influence. Finally, he acknowledges risks, including alienating Labour and Greens supporters, yet maintains that policy clarity and unity around wealth taxes offer the best chance to avert a Reform-dominated future. The structure of the video follows a clear arc: first, establish the election’s importance; second, present who Gary believes viewers should vote for if wealth taxes matter; third, broaden the geographic scope to Scotland and Wales; fourth, discuss the next prime minister and leadership dynamics; fifth, present strategies for achieving wealth taxes; sixth, offer predictions and consequences of different outcomes; seventh, remind viewers about registration and participation; and eighth, map out actionable steps for viewers to take, including lobbying and public messaging. Each block weaves together political forecast with policy advocacy, culminating in a strong call to action to vote Greens as a strategic move to advance wealth tax policy, and to pressure Labour to engage in wealth tax discussions. The tone remains urgent, pragmatic, and at times cautionary about the risks of vote-splitting and reformist victories that could lock in eight years without wealth taxes. The video reinforces Gary’s brand as a proponent of tax wealth not work, positioning online advocacy as a bridge to real political outcomes. The final takeaway is a disciplined appeal for unity around policy goals, not factionalism, with a long horizon that connects a single week’s vote to potential structural reforms over the coming decade. Audience guidance and practical notes are threaded throughout: the host clarifies that not all regions vote this week and outlines who can vote in Scotland, Wales, and England. He shares a personal subscription and engagement plan, including meeting with wealth tax experts abroad, and he invites viewers to participate in foundation-building efforts like lobbying and donations. The messaging consistently ties local ballots to the broader policy aim of taxing wealth more and reducing inequality, emphasizing that strategic support for the Greens could prod Labour toward credible wealth tax proposals. He also flags potential consequences of alternative outcomes, such as a Reform government or prolonged Conservative governance, and why those routes would delay wealth tax progress. Overall the video serves as both a political forecast and a call to action for viewers who care about wealth inequality and tax policy as central axes of political competition. In closing, Gary frames the voting decision as a tactical choice designed to maximize long-term policy leverage rather than a purely partisan preference. He argues that the Greens’ advocacy for wealth taxes could be the catalyst Labour needs to move toward wealth tax commitments, while warning about the perils of a reformist victory that could stall progress. He ends with practical next steps: vote Green this week, engage in constructive dialogue with Labour about wealth taxes, participate in lobbying efforts, and support a broader movement to redesign the tax system toward greater fairness. The video closes on a forward-looking note, inviting viewers to join a coordinated effort to reshape economic policy in the UK, with wealth taxes as the central instrument of change.
Topics · politics · economics · public policy · elections · uk politics · inequality
Questions answered
- Who should you vote for if wealth taxes matter?
- Vote for the Greens this week to push wealth taxes onto the political agenda and pressure Labour to signal commitment to wealth tax reform.
- Why is local election voting so important for national leadership?
- Because local results can influence leadership contests and shape which party leads the next government, affecting long-term tax and inequality policies.