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Job Vacancies Rise - Is this due to Covid or Brexit? Gary on LBC with Darren Adam

Garys Economics@garyseconomics3K viewsAug 18, 20218:57
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Job Vacancies & House Prices are on the rise - has Covid and/or Brexit contributed? Gary Stevenson on LBC with Darren Adam Broadcast on 18/08/2021 @ 03:50 Uploaded with permission from LBC LBC WEBSITE: lbc.co.uk SOCIAL MEDIA: WEBSITE - wealtheconomics.org TWITTER - @garyseconomics FACEBOOK - garyseconomics INSTAGRAM - garyseconomics STOCK FROM: Oliver Collet & Jaanus Jagomagi on Unsplash Spoken by Darren Adam TIMES RADIO Spoken by Gary Stevenson GARY'S ECONOMICS Uploaded by Simran Mohan MOHAN MEDIA

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Gary Stevenson discusses the surge in job vacancies during the second quarter of the year, explaining that April through June saw a spike as many hospitality venues reopened after lockdowns. He notes that unemployment is edging down, and that the high vacancy rate may reflect post-pandemic dynamics like employers needing new staff after furlough. However, he cautions against drawing sweeping conclusions from these figures, as the context of the data is atypical. The interview highlights how Covid-19 massively distorted labor statistics, with sectors such as hospitality driving vacancies as they hire to meet renewed demand. The conversation also weighs the role of Brexit, noting that reduced inbound labor from the EU could exacerbate staffing shortages in certain industries. Stevenson argues the numbers are not necessarily a clear signal of broad improvement for jobseekers and emphasizes the need to consider other economic indicators like wage growth and inflation. He connects policy choices, such as furlough exits and the government’s Covid-era support, to potential future unemployment trends and inequality, signaling that the recovery is nuanced and uneven across regions and income groups. The discussion ends on a cautious note, praising government intervention that protected workers during the crisis while warning of ongoing risks, particularly around housing affordability and wage pressure as the economy rebalances.

Topics · economy · labour_market · uk_politics · covid19 · housing

Questions answered

What factors contributed to the rise in job vacancies in the second quarter of the year?
The rise in vacancies is linked to reopening activity in hospitality and related sectors after lockdowns, which increased hiring needs, alongside fewer foreign workers due to Brexit and COVID disruptions.
Why should we be cautious about interpreting the vacancy numbers?
Because the data capture a period when many sectors were reopening, and COVID and Brexit create simultaneously overlapping effects that make it hard to attribute vacancies to a single cause.