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How Did RAM Get So Expensive? And How it’s Going to Get Worse…

Linus Tech Tips@LinusTechTips1.6M viewsDec 30, 202512:51
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RAM prices have surged driven by an AI data center demand surge and a bottlenecked memory supply. The video explains that the AI boom has shifted memory production toward chips needed for servers and GPUs, while consumer RAM for gaming and desktops faces tighter access as manufacturers pivot to high-margin AI parts. The presenter outlines that the leading memory makers,SK Hynix, Samsung, and Micron,control the fabs that produce DRAM, and their capacity is finite, highly specialized, and difficult to scale quickly. He highlights that both building new fabrication facilities and ramping existing operations take years and substantial capital, with manufacturers reluctant to add supply unless pricing remains high for an extended period. A key point is that even if demand cools, inventory commitments and long lead times mean RAM pricing will stay elevated for the foreseeable future. The video also discusses potential partial relief from new entrants like CXMT in China, but cautions that their output will take years to meaningfully affect global supply. Overall, the message is that RAM inflation is a systemic issue tied to the economics of silicon manufacturing, sophisticated AI workloads, and the timing mismatch between demand spikes and supply response, with a speculative note that the AI bubble may not burst immediately but could soften demand down the road.

Topics · technology · economy · semiconductors · artificial intelligence · consumer electronics · memory · data centers

Questions answered

Why have RAM prices spiked so dramatically in recent years?
RAM prices rose because AI data centers demand a large share of memory, the leading memory manufacturers have finite capacity, and new fabrication facilities take years to build, delaying supply increases.
Can memory supply ramp up quickly to meet demand?
No, fab capacity upgrades and new plants require multi-year planning and investment, and manufacturers have signaled they do not plan to rush supply to meet short-term spikes.
Is there any hope from new entrants like CXMT to alleviate the shortage?
CXMT in China is starting to manufacture DDR5 but is still years away from matching the output of the big three, so meaningful relief is not immediate.